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预测一：2012 年至 2015 年中国人均阅读量变化*|*

The line chart shows the tendency of people’s choices of reading e-books or traditionalpaperbooksfrom2012to2015inChina.Itcanbenoticedthat,afterthe year of 2013, people began to pay more attention to e-books than to paper books when they readmaterials.

Asaresult,whethere-bookswillreplacetraditionaloneshasemergedasahot topic. Some people hold that due to the convenience and the low cost of reading e-books,itispossiblethate-bookswillbecomethesubstitutefortraditionalbooks. Inmyopinion,however,e-bookscannotcompetewithpaperbooksinthefollowing aspects. Firstly, you can bring and read a paper book whenever and wherever you are, but you cannot always have a usable e-reader device. Secondly, as to note- taking, scanning and skimming, paper books have moreadvantages.

Above all, it is wise to choose the way of reading according to one’s needs.

Both e-books and paper books are intimate friends of readers.

【译文】

该折线图显示了 2012 年至 2015 年中国人们对电子书或传统纸质书阅读的选择趋势。可以注意到，2013 年之后，和纸质书相比，人们阅读资料开始更多地关注电子书。

因此，电子书是否会取代传统书籍已开始成为一个热门话题。一些人认为，由于阅读电 子书便利、成本低，电子书有可能成为传统书籍的替代品。然而，在我看来，电子书在以下 几个方面不能与纸质书竞争。首先，你可以随时随地携带和阅读纸质书，但你不总是有一个 能用的电子书阅读器。其次，在记笔记、速读和略读方面，纸质书籍更有优势。

最重要的，明智的方式是根据自己的需要选择阅读方式。电子书和纸质书都是读者的亲 密朋友。

*|*预测二：中国人口老龄化问题*|*

The past decade has witnessed the ascending population of senior citizens in China. To be specific, the number of people over 60 years old increased steadily from 0.159 billion in 2008 to 0.248 billion in 2017. Meanwhile, the percentage of these people in China rose significantly from 12% to 17.3%.

Obviously, the author’s purpose is to show us that due attention should be paid to the phenomenon of aging population. What exactly contributes to this

phenomenon? It is a thought-provoking question. Primarily, people’s life expectancy has improved in many societies, possibly because of improvements in technology and the growing concern about personal health. Yet, one problem associatedwithanagingpopulationisthathealthcarecostswillincrease,imposing a burden on taxpayers. Besides, the slow pace of work is another problem, as the number of senior workers increases. If the elderly choose to delay retirement, their presence in the workforce can influence productivity of companies and the whole society.

In conclusion, the aging population and extension of life expectancy have put a strain on health care and made the workforce less productive. It appeals to all efforts from the society and the government to take practical actions, such as shoulderingresponsibilitytotakecareofouragingparents.Onlyinthiswaycanwe expect a healthiersociety.

【译文】

过去的十年见证了中国老年人口的增长。其中，60 岁以上人口由 2008 年的 1.59 亿人稳步增长到2017 年的2.48 亿人。与此同时，这些人在中国的比例从12%大幅上升至17.3%。

显然，作者的目的是告诉我们应该充分关注人口老龄化现象。到底是什么导致了这种现 象？这是一个发人深省的问题。首先，可能是由于技术的进步和对个人健康的日益关注，在 许多社会中，人们的预期寿命提高。与人口老龄化相关的一个问题是医疗成本将增加，给纳 税人带来负担。此外，工作节奏缓慢是另一个问题，因为老年人数量增加。如果老年人选择 延迟退休，他们在劳动力中的出现会影响公司和整个社会的生产率。

总之，人口老龄化和预期寿命的延长给医疗保健带来了压力，降低了劳动力的生产效率， 这呼吁社会和政府尽全力采取实际行动，例如承担起照顾年迈父母的责任。只有这样，我们 才能期待一个更健康的社会。